North America Sunflower Oil Price Analysis – Q1 2025

Sunflower Oil Prices in the United States:

During Q1 2025, the Sunflower Oil Price Index in the USA exhibited significant volatility, with prices peaking at 1,250 USD/MT in March. Early in the quarter, reduced global seed production and strong competing oil markets drove prices upward, while limited acreage and robust export demand from Asia and Europe added further pressure. By late March, improved weather and cautious international buying led to a notable price correction, reflecting the dynamic Sunflower Oil Price Index.

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APAC Sunflower Oil Price Analysis – Q1 2025

Sunflower Oil Prices in China:

During Q1 2025, the Sunflower Oil Price Trend in China showed a steady increase, reaching 1,050 USD/MT by March. This upward movement was driven by Russian export restrictions that limited supply, elevated freight costs that raised import expenses, and strong domestic demand fueled by government economic stimulus. Additionally, limited seed crushing capacity in major producing regions further tightened supply, sustaining the upward momentum in the Sunflower Oil Price Chart throughout the quarter.

Sunflower Oil Prices in Japan:

During Q1 2025, the Sunflower Oil Price Index in Japan reflected persistent supply constraints and strong industrial demand, driving prices up to 1,420 USD/MT by March. Tight supplies from Eastern Europe, escalating procurement and freight costs, and robust domestic consumption all contributed to sustained upward momentum. These combined factors intensified market pressure and created a steady price appreciation throughout the quarter, as captured by the Sunflower Oil Price Index.

Regional Analysis: The price analysis can be extended to provide detailed sunflower oil price information for the following list of countries.

China, India, Indonesia, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Japan, Philippines, Vietnam, Thailand, South Korea, Malaysia, Nepal, Taiwan, Sri Lanka, Hong Kong, Singapore, Australia, and New Zealand, among other Asian countries.

Europe Sunflower Oil Price Analysis – Q1 2025

Sunflower Oil Prices in France:

During Q1 2025, the Sunflower Oil Price Trend in France was marked by significant volatility, with prices reaching 1,450 USD/MT by March. This instability resulted from restricted import volumes and elevated production expenses across the supply chain. Global seed production uncertainties and export restrictions from major producing nations intensified fluctuations, while French processors faced rising input costs. Despite these challenges, steady demand from the food manufacturing and biofuel sectors maintained consistent consumption levels.

Sunflower Oil Prices in the United Kingdom:

During Q1 2025, the Sunflower Oil Price Index in the United Kingdom reflected pronounced volatility, with prices reaching 1,300 USD/MT in March. This fluctuation was driven by constrained global supply channels, elevated shipping expenses, and reduced shipments from Eastern European producers. Persistent currency instability further complicated procurement, yet domestic demand in foodservice and retail sectors remained strong, even as inventory levels steadily declined throughout the quarter.

Regional Analysis: The price analysis can be expanded to include detailed sunflower oil price data for a wide range of European countries:

such as Germany, France, the United Kingdom, Italy, Spain, Russia, Turkey, the Netherlands, Poland, Sweden, Belgium, Austria, Ireland, Switzerland, Norway, Denmark, Romania, Finland, the Czech Republic, Portugal, and Greece, along with other European nations.

Key Factors Influencing Sunflower Oil Price Trend, Index, and Forecast (2025)

Global Supply and Crop Yields

Sunflower oil prices are highly sensitive to crop yields in major producing countries like Ukraine, Russia, and China. Favorable weather and strong harvests increase supply and can drive prices down, while poor yields or weather-related disruptions tend to tighten supply and push prices higher.

Geopolitical and Trade Influences

Ongoing geopolitical tensions—especially in Eastern Europe—impact production, exports, and global logistics. Conflicts or trade restrictions in key regions can disrupt supply chains, create shortages, and lead to price spikes.

Competition with Other Vegetable Oils:

Sunflower oil prices are closely linked to the prices of alternative oils such as soybean and palm oil. When soybean or palm oil prices fall due to bumper harvests or oversupply, demand for sunflower oil may decline, putting downward pressure on its price. Conversely, shortages or price hikes in competing oils can boost sunflower oil demand and prices.

Demand Trends and Consumer Preferences

Shifting consumer preferences toward healthier cooking oils and plant-based diets support sunflower oil demand. However, if demand softens—such as from reduced imports in China or India—prices may ease, especially when supply is ample.

Inventory Levels and Supply Chain Efficiency:

High inventories and efficient logistics can moderate cost pressures and stabilize prices. Conversely, low stock levels or logistical bottlenecks (e.g., due to weather or geopolitical events) can trigger price volatility.

Government Policies and Import Duties:

Policies such as duty-free imports, export restrictions, or changes in tariffs directly affect domestic and global price trends. For example, continued duty-free imports in India help stabilize local prices, while increased import duties can elevate costs for consumers.

Currency Fluctuations and Energy Costs:

Changes in currency exchange rates and rising energy or transportation costs influence production expenses and international trade, adding another layer of price volatility.

Sunflower Oil Price Outlook for 2025

Short-term: Prices are expected to remain volatile, with oversupply and softening demand putting downward pressure, but ongoing geopolitical risks and high freight costs providing support.

Medium-term: If supply stabilizes and demand from key markets recovers, prices may find a floor and gradually firm up. However, competition from other vegetable oils and any major supply shocks will continue to drive price movements.

Summary:

Sunflower oil prices in 2025 are shaped by crop yields, geopolitical events, competition with other oils, demand trends, inventory levels, government policies, and currency and energy costs. The outlook suggests continued volatility, with prices responding quickly to shifts in supply, demand, and global market conditions.

FAQs on Sunflower Oil Price Trend and Forecast (2025)

What is the current trend in sunflower oil prices globally in 2025?

Sunflower oil prices have shown significant volatility in 2025, with prices peaking in several regions due to supply constraints, high shipping costs, and strong demand, but are now moderating as supply conditions improve and demand softens in key markets.

How does the Sunflower Oil Price Index vary across major markets?

In Q1 2025, sunflower oil prices reached 1,250 USD/MT in the USA, 1,050 USD/MT in China, 1,420 USD/MT in Japan, 1,450 USD/MT in France, and 1,300 USD/MT in the United Kingdom, reflecting regional supply-demand dynamics and logistical challenges.

What are the main factors influencing the sunflower oil price trend in 2025?

Key drivers include global seed production levels, export restrictions from major producers, elevated freight and shipping costs, currency fluctuations, and shifting consumer demand, with weather and geopolitical events adding further pressure.

What is the forecast for sunflower oil prices in the coming months?

Analysts expect sunflower oil prices to remain under pressure but stabilize by mid-2025, with forecasts indicating prices may average around 1,327 USD/MT by the end of the current quarter and potentially rise to about 1,378 USD/MT over the next 12 months as market fundamentals rebalance.

How are shifts in demand and supply affecting the sunflower oil market outlook?

While some regions face declining consumption and oversupply, others—particularly in Asia—see upward price momentum due to limited imports and robust demand, suggesting that the global market will continue to experience localized volatility even as overall price levels stabilize.

Key Coverage:

• Market Analysis
• Market Breakup by Region
• Demand Supply Analysis by Type
• Demand Supply Analysis by Application
• Demand Supply Analysis of Raw Materials
• Price Analysis
• Spot Prices by Major Ports
• Price Breakup
• Price Trends by Region
• Factors Influencing Price Trends
• Market Drivers, Restraints, and Opportunities
• Competitive Landscape
• Recent Developments
• Global Event Analysis

How IMARC Pricing Database Can Help

The latest IMARC Group study, “Sunflower Oil Prices, Trend, Chart, Demand, Market Analysis, News, Historical and Forecast Data 2025 Edition,” presents a detailed analysis of the Sunflower Oil price trend, offering key insights into global Sunflower Oil market dynamics. This report includes comprehensive price charts, which trace historical data and highlight major shifts in the market.

The analysis delves into the factors driving these trends, including raw material costs, production fluctuations, and geopolitical influences. Moreover, the report examines Sunflower Oil demand, illustrating how consumer behaviour and industrial needs affect overall market dynamics. By exploring the intricate relationship between supply and demand, the prices report uncovers critical factors influencing current and future prices.

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IMARC Group is a global management consulting firm that provides a comprehensive suite of services to support market entry and expansion efforts. The company offers detailed market assessments, feasibility studies, regulatory approvals and licensing support, and pricing analysis, including spot pricing and regional price trends. Its expertise spans demand-supply analysis alongside regional insights covering Asia-Pacific, Europe, North America, Latin America, the Middle East, and Africa. IMARC also specializes in competitive landscape evaluations, profiling key market players, and conducting research into market drivers, restraints, and opportunities. IMARC’s data-driven approach helps businesses navigate complex markets with precision and confidence.

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